Latest State Charts. Podcast Today at Noon with Michael Betrus

Join us at noon on Callin as we chat with Michael Betrus.

Michael Betrus is one of the most prolific writers during this pandemic. He’s also a relentless and powerful voice against authoritarianism during this pandemic.

Also - here’s my first plea of the year. Rational Ground is working on some incredible projects for the new year but we need your help. Please consider becoming a paid subscriber to our efforts!

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REGIONAL CHARTS

Notes:

• In general, the Omicron massive wave of cases should crest and fall like a rock in the next few weeks. California is still climbing so they will lag behind. We expect mortality from this wave to be MUCH lower that the previous waves. The lesson learned here… you can’t stop a respiratory pathogen. Also, the vaccines have some benefit for individuals but have totally failed to stem variants and the disease itself from spreading.

• The Northeast (HHS Region 1) continues to soar past logic, even on deaths now in some regions. Still, mortality remains lower in many locations

• We believe that New York and New Jersey have hit their case peaks and all that’s left is for deaths that follow to taper out.

• Maryland - one of the more lockdowned states (especially for schools and masks) has fared no better than its unmasked lighter touch neighbors and actually seems to be having a real bout with mortality.

• It seemed like the south was going to get a double-pump after the BIG summer Delta wave but mortality has remained EXTREMELY low for places like Florida with Omicron. It’s almost like you have a to let a population go through the gauntlet to stem all the bleeding - otherwise you just extend the drama.

• The Midwest (Region 5, OH, IL, MI…) has really born the brute force of this winter wave. Some times of a peaks already so hopefully they can extract themselves from that.

• All eyes on California to see how it weathers the Omicron storm

Blue area = cases

Red line = deaths

Note that the axis are independent for each state so you can see things properly.