Rational Ground by Justin Hart

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Red COVID Nonsense

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Red COVID Nonsense

Political leanings are NOT to blame for vaccination rates.

Justin Hart
Sep 27, 2021
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Red COVID Nonsense

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The Red COVID thing is nonsense.

The lie is this: the Trumpiest Trump voters are to blame for lack of vaccination. But they're doing most of their analysis at the STATE level. 50 data points?

Let's try 3000+ data points and bring this down to the county level. Correlation between county, trump vote and vaccination % is tepid at best.

X-axis: vaccination rate
Y-axis: % Trump vote
Size: population of that county

Chart #1: All Counties

Image

Chart #2: 70%+ Trump counties.

Image

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Red COVID Nonsense

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4 Comments
Matt P
Sep 27, 2021

YYG did this analysis as well... (and he's a liberal!)

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1397230156301930497.html

He analyzed many variables including political leanings and found (surprise) masks did not work, dems did not work, etc etc..

The only correlation was to GDP... if you locked down you hurt GDP but did not benefit in terms of excess mortality

THANKS R(g) - YOU GUYS ARE WARRIORS FOR FREEDOM

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gatochapinmuertodehambre
Sep 27, 2021

I like your idea, and admire your ability to pull together all the data. But the blobs have a definite elongated shape, all pointing down and to the right. So even if the correlation is poor, that's not surprising. The points would not be expected to lie perfectly along a line unless Trump voting were the only input variable. It looks like all have P values <0.05, so the relationship is statistically significant.

Anyway, the more reddish counties may not be to BLAME for low vaxx rates, maybe they can take the CREDIT for them.

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