Why are 30 & 40-year-olds dying? And NOT of COVID :(

The number of excess deaths we've seen these past 2 years are LARGER than the number of confirmed COVID-19 deaths

The general rule of thumb is this: for every 20 years below the median age of death for COVID-19 (around eighty years old) your mortality risk drops 10x.

  • If you are 60 years old your risk is 10x lower than an 80 year old.

  • If you are 40 years old your risk is 100x lower than an 80 year old.

  • If you are 20 years old your risk is 1000x lower!

Here’s where the mystery comes in. Our good friend Ben who runs USMortality.com has an excellent tool to gauge the “excess deaths” - that is - the number of deaths we see ABOVE what was expected.

Remember, 8,000 people die every day and 40,000 people die in nursing homes every month. 500 kids have dies since Jan 2020 of COVID but 56,000 kids have died of something other than COVID.

So why are 30 and 40-yr-olds dying in numbers we are not expecting?

The red bar is the # of excess deaths and the blue bar are the confirmed COVID-19 deaths by year.

Ben’s website notes the follow about the 25-44 age group:

United States reported 180,886 deaths of 25-44 ages for year 2020. Expected deaths were 143,963 . That is an increase/decrease of 36,923 deaths (25.6%).

To date, for the year 2021, United States reported 155,605 deaths of 25-44 ages. Expected deaths thus far, were 108,844. That is an increase/decrease of 46,761 deaths (43.0%).

That’s 45K deaths of 25 to 44 year olds that was unexpected AND are not accounted for in the COVID death records from the CDC.

Here’s a possible chunk of adult deaths we can point to:

Tell me your thoughts. What else could it be?