Rational Ground by Justin Hart

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Perspective on COVID-19 Mortality
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Perspective on COVID-19 Mortality

Look up the risk for YOUR specific age

Justin Hart
Sep 20, 2021
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Perspective on COVID-19 Mortality
covidreason.substack.com

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Get some perspective folks. Our good friend Phil Kerpen has updated the COVID-19 mortality tables by age – specific age actually! So look up your own risk between you and your peers below.

  • First, find your age on the chart on column #1.

  • Second column: how many people your age have died of COVID-19 since January 2020

  • Third column: the number of people in the U.S. who are that age.

  • Fourth column: the % of the people that age who have died of COVID.

If you’re 49 there have been 3,965 49-yr-olds who have died of COVID-19. There are over 4.3 million 49-yr-olds olds – which means that 0.085% of 49 year olds have died of COVID. As I always note, if you are over the age of 65 strongly consider getting vaccinated as there is acute risk to you. Under the age of 45 there is a near zero statistical risk of mortality. Otherwise – your choice but stay informed!

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You might also choose to look up how many people your age have died of ANYTHING since January 2020 and how that gives you perspective on COVID-19 deaths.

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Lastly, consider the types of deaths which occur at these ratios. We’ve mapped these to mortality risks provided by insurance companies for comparison.

And of course we provide some perspective on age comparisons. The median age of death of a COVID-19 victim is about 80 years old. The risk tables show that for every 20 years below 80 your risk decreases by 10x. So if you are 60 your risk is 10x lower than that of an 80 year old. If you are 40 your risk is 100x lower and if you are 20 your risk is 1000x (ONE THOUSAND!) times lower than an 80 year old.

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Perspective on COVID-19 Mortality
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Kevin Barrett
Sep 26, 2021

Interesting to see what the deaths with number/type of comorbidities were by age as well. Of the 7,463 58 year olds who died with covid, how many had zero comorbidities associated with poor outcomes from Covid-19? How many were obese, T2D, heart disease, fatty liver disease, cancer, etc

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Stephen Patten
Writes Generally Speaking Sep 20, 2021

Thank you! Perspective is everything.

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