Perspective on COVID-19 Mortality
Look up the risk for YOUR specific age
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Get some perspective folks. Our good friend Phil Kerpen has updated the COVID-19 mortality tables by age – specific age actually! So look up your own risk between you and your peers below.
First, find your age on the chart on column #1.
Second column: how many people your age have died of COVID-19 since January 2020
Third column: the number of people in the U.S. who are that age.
Fourth column: the % of the people that age who have died of COVID.
If you’re 49 there have been 3,965 49-yr-olds who have died of COVID-19. There are over 4.3 million 49-yr-olds olds – which means that 0.085% of 49 year olds have died of COVID. As I always note, if you are over the age of 65 strongly consider getting vaccinated as there is acute risk to you. Under the age of 45 there is a near zero statistical risk of mortality. Otherwise – your choice but stay informed!
You might also choose to look up how many people your age have died of ANYTHING since January 2020 and how that gives you perspective on COVID-19 deaths.
Lastly, consider the types of deaths which occur at these ratios. We’ve mapped these to mortality risks provided by insurance companies for comparison.
And of course we provide some perspective on age comparisons. The median age of death of a COVID-19 victim is about 80 years old. The risk tables show that for every 20 years below 80 your risk decreases by 10x. So if you are 60 your risk is 10x lower than that of an 80 year old. If you are 40 your risk is 100x lower and if you are 20 your risk is 1000x (ONE THOUSAND!) times lower than an 80 year old.
This is all well and good, but the age table is what I refer to as 'comorbidity-agnostic'.
Relevant comorbidities are things associated with metabolic dysregulation and systemic inflammation: (hyper-)obesity; diabetes with complications; chronic kidney disease; Vitamin D deficiency.
If you're a 56 year old male with zero relevant comorbidities, your risk of death from COVID19 is as near to zero as makes no odds. (I have long made it my business to know my 10-year mortality risk, and to do what I can to reduce it: there is zero risk-reduction for me in the Pfizer-payday jab, if one considers the historical level of outright dishonesty in Pfizer's research output).
When I see Karens with a BMI in the high 30s wearing face masks, I stifle a little chuckle and think "If she'd spent the last 20 months losing 20kg, her odds would be better than wearing a mouth-burqa".
It's really interesting that diabetes *without* complications seems be neutral with respect to mortality risk: it points to the culprit being damage to, e.g., the endothelial glycocalyx (interior to the epithelial layer in the vascular system).
Interesting to see what the deaths with number/type of comorbidities were by age as well. Of the 7,463 58 year olds who died with covid, how many had zero comorbidities associated with poor outcomes from Covid-19? How many were obese, T2D, heart disease, fatty liver disease, cancer, etc