Study: Vaccines are NOT stopping the pandemic
ICYMI: this Harvard study notes that there is NO correlation between vaccination rates and case rates
I have no idea how this paper made it past the censors but there it is! This was published 2 month ago but didn’t receive much fanfare and now we know why—it confirms what we’ve been saying for months now: the vaccines have not stopped and likely will not stop the pandemic.
Back in July we tweeted that the CDC data mapping vax rates to COVID-19 case rates shows ZERO impact of the former on the latter:
We’ve written in these pages multiple times about the same phenomenon. Yesterday, Dr. Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford tweeted:
“There is a lot to learn from this graph, but most obviously, the COVID vax does not stop infection. The vax provides a private benefit (protection vs. severe disease), but limited public benefit (protection vs. disease spread). So what is the argument for mandates?”
Now this Harvard research notes:
At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days (Fig. 1). In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people.
When they got down to the U.S. county level the relation was even less discernible:
They conclude:
The sole reliance on vaccination as a primary strategy to mitigate COVID-19 and its adverse consequences needs to be re-examined, especially considering the Delta (B.1.617.2) variant and the likelihood of future variants
Feel some vindication folks. We were right.
Putting the moral issues aside...as others have said: If the vaccines are safe (both short and long term) but not effective (no sterilizing immunity) - mandates are not justified. If they are effective (sterilizing immunity) but not safe - mandates are not justified. If they are safe and effective - mandates are not justified and if they are neither safe nor effective - mandates are not justified. It is really quite simple.
A while back I shared this study with my brother who's sympathetic to the mainstream narrative (but open-minded enough to hear contrary evidence) and his response was that it didn't control for urban/rural population density. It'd be nice to do this analysis again but broken down by counties with high/low population density and high/low vaccination rates (four total) to see if there was any effect on case/death rates. Does anyone know if there's already such a study? I already did something similar with states and it was more or less inconclusive.